LPX
Louisiana-Pacific Corp.
LUMBER & WOOD PRODUCTS (NO FURNITURE)
Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$75.85
+1.05 (+1.40%)
â˛
5d:
+0.65%
30d:
+9.31%
90d:
+4.92%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect LPX Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$68.12 â $76.19
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
28.4x
STRETCHED
vs 21.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$87.86
+15.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
13th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$72.27 / $80.17
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LPX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LPX is currently trading at $75.85, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.12 to $76.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.4) compared to its historical average (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.27, while resistance sits at $80.17.
Market Sentiment: LPX scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.86 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.27, while resistance sits at $80.17.
Market Sentiment: LPX scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.86 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$68.12 -
$76.19
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$68.12 -
$76.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$3.86
(5.1%)
Support Level
$72.27
Resistance Level
$80.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding LPX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.86)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.5% growth expectation is conservative given 149% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.44
Wall Street Target
$87.86
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
148.9%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.5% premium
PE vs Historical
28.4 vs 21.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.81
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$92.61
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$102.34
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28â21)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.4, Growth: 137.9%)
$255.99
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 137.9%)
$178.78
(+136%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 137.9%)
$151.97
(+100%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.71 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.95
Bull Case
$91.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$75.85
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$58.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LPX)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates on StockTwits regarding $LPX, while a Yahoo Finance news article discusses the potential unreliability of Wall Street analyst recommendations for investing in LPX.
Key Retail Themes:
Analyst recommendations
LPX stock price
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 15, 2026 12:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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