Landstar System (LSTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$173.48
3.34 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
+5.93%
30d:
-0.7%
90d:
-14.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$373.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$231.71
25.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $173.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.03 to $178.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $175.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.88 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $175.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.88 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$168.03 -
$178.09
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($193.88)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$168.03 -
$178.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$162.15
Resistance Level
$175.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.63
Wall Street Target
$193.88
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 25.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.54
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$159.88
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$153.48
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$173.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 29.4%)
$376.18
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 29.4%)
$339.08
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 29.4%)
$288.21
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$371.65
(+114%)
Analyst growth 98.6%, PE expands to 48.5
Base Case
$337.86
(+95%)
Market implied 98.6%, PE stable at 44.1
Bear Case
$115.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$196.23
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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