LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$207.50
-1.52 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
-5.37%
30d:
+8.58%
90d:
+37.98%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: LSTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$345.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$214.30
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $207.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.14 to $221.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.3) compared to its historical average (25.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $197.00, while resistance sits at $228.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $181.29. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $197.00, while resistance sits at $228.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $181.29. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$193.14 -
$221.42
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.6% above Wall St target ($181.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$193.14 -
$221.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.00
Resistance Level
$228.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.27
Wall Street Target
$181.29
(-12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.42
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$225.73
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$235.44
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$207.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 25.0%)
$405.39
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.0%)
$301.66
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 25.0%)
$256.41
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 37.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.60
Bull Case
$250.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.9
Base Case
$207.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case
$158.74
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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