LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$176.76
1.99 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
-7.76%
30d:
-15.1%
90d:
-2.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$370.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$230.14
23.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $176.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $189.03 to $214.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (26.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $167.58, while resistance sits at $215.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.93 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $167.58, while resistance sits at $215.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.93 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$189.03 -
$214.95
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($194.93)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$189.03 -
$214.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$167.58
Resistance Level
$215.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.22
Wall Street Target
$194.93
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 26.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.87
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$163.24
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$156.88
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$177.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 28.8%)
$377.71
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 28.8%)
$337.25
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 28.8%)
$286.66
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.28
Bull Case
$211.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$174.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$133.70
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 26.2
Stabilization Target:
$199.47
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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