LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$212.87
3.55 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+4.56%
30d:
-2.76%
90d:
+25.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$354.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$220.18
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $212.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.19 to $218.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $197.00, while resistance sits at $228.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $190.93. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $197.00, while resistance sits at $228.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $190.93. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$205.19 -
$218.98
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.3% above Wall St target ($190.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.19 -
$218.98
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.00
Resistance Level
$228.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.22
Wall Street Target
$190.93
(-10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$220.96
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$229.36
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$238.07
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$212.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 26.3%)
$429.35
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.3%)
$319.97
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.3%)
$271.98
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 37.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.70
Bull Case
$257.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 39.2
Base Case
$212.87
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$162.85
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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