LSTR
Landstar System Inc
TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
Landstar System (LSTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$147.31
+1.60 (+1.10%)
▲
5d:
-2.6%
30d:
-11.81%
90d:
-21.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$148.03 – $171.61
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.6x
CHEAP
vs 25.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$179.25
+21.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$137.00 / $154.11
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LSTR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.8% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$366.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$227.41
35.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $147.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $148.03 to $171.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $137.00, while resistance sits at $154.11.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.25 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $137.00, while resistance sits at $154.11.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.25 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$148.03 -
$171.61
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$148.03 -
$171.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$137.00
Resistance Level
$154.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (89/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($179.25)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 89/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.58
Wall Street Target
$179.25
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
153.3%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 25.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.82
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$125.23
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$115.46
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$147.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.0%)
$328.05
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 30.0%)
$323.44
(+120%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 30.0%)
$274.93
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.72
Bull Case
$255.47
(+73%)
Analyst growth 59.4%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$232.24
(+58%)
Market implied 59.4%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$99.08
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$188.08
(+27.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LSTR)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Landstar System (LSTR) reported Q3 earnings and revenues surpassing estimates, with a 16.67% earnings surprise and 1.58% revenue surprise.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
revenue beat
positive estimate revisions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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