Landstar System (LSTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$169.39
-1.89 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
+1.44%
90d:
-15.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LSTR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.4% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LSTR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.4% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$373.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$231.63
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $169.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.06 to $171.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $165.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.69 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $165.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.69 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$167.06 -
$171.59
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($187.69)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$167.06 -
$171.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$165.17
Resistance Level
$174.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.11
Wall Street Target
$187.69
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 25.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.94
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$154.81
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$148.00
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$169.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 29.2%)
$365.50
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.2%)
$328.35
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 29.2%)
$279.10
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$374.00
(+121%)
Analyst growth 98.5%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$340.00
(+101%)
Market implied 98.5%, PE stable at 44.4
Bear Case
$116.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$193.86
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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