LZB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LZB - La-Z-Boy Incorporated
$38.77
-0.41 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
-1.6%
30d:
+3.77%
90d:
+14.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LZB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LZB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.26
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LZB is currently trading at $38.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.44 to $40.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LZB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LZB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.44 -
$40.58
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.44 -
$40.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.29
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.88
Resistance Level
$38.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.10
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.1%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.89
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$41.05
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$42.24
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$95.13
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$57.21
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$48.63
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$51.65
(+33%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$46.95
(+21%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$26.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LZB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2026-03-12
Michael Adam Leggett
SELL
2200 shares
2026-02-20
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