MAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAS - Masco Corporation
$73.29
-0.04 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
-1.4%
30d:
-5.24%
90d:
+9.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.28
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $73.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.58 to $78.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MAS scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MAS scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.58 -
$78.71
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($80.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.58 -
$78.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.58
Resistance Level
$77.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.73
Wall Street Target
$80.65
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.02
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$74.76
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$75.51
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.8%)
$101.73
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 2.8%)
$79.71
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 2.8%)
$67.75
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.23
Bull Case
$88.87
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.2%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$80.79
(+10%)
Market implied 10.2%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$49.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heath M Eisman
SELL
747 shares
2026-02-26
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