Masco (MAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MAS - Masco Corporation

HEATING EQUIP, EXCEPT ELEC & WARM AIR; & PLUMBING FIXTURES
$74.56
-0.10 (-0.13%) ▼
5d: +7.37%
30d: +6.58%
90d: -3.59%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MAS is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.32
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $74.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.52 to $71.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.75, while resistance sits at $77.03.

Market Sentiment: MAS scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $67.52 - $71.55
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($79.16)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $67.52 - $71.55
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $67.75
Resistance Level $77.04
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.20
Wall Street Target $79.16 (+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.5%
Profit Margin 11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 16.2 vs 15.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $76.13 (+2%)
2-Year Target $77.72 (+4%)
3-Year Target $79.36 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $74.48 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.6%) $95.87 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 1.6%) $78.18 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 13.8, Growth: 1.6%) $66.45 (-11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.32
Bull Case $87.52 (+17%)
Analyst growth 6.6%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case $79.56 (+7%)
Market implied 6.6%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case $50.77 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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