Masco (MAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAS - Masco Corporation
$68.52
0.88 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
-4.06%
30d:
-8.2%
90d:
-7.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.27
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $68.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.87 to $75.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MAS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.61 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MAS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.61 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.87 -
$75.71
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.61)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.87 -
$75.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.19
Resistance Level
$74.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.70
Wall Street Target
$80.61
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.63
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$66.75
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$65.88
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$68.55
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.8%)
$102.20
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 2.8%)
$74.50
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 2.8%)
$63.33
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.23
Bull Case
$81.97
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.2%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$74.52
(+9%)
Market implied 10.2%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$46.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$71.30
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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