MAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAS - Masco Corporation
$71.48
-0.63 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
-9.83%
30d:
-12.44%
90d:
-0.47%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MAS is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MAS is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.82
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $71.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.93 to $80.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$74.93 -
$80.94
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.93 -
$80.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.93
Resistance Level
$83.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.22
Wall Street Target
$81.82
(+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.57
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$88.12
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$91.82
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$131.11
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$108.51
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$92.23
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.04
Bull Case
$101.71
(+42%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$92.46
(+29%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$53.90
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 4:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heath M Eisman
SELL
747 shares
2026-02-26
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