MAS Masco Corporation HEATING EQUIP, EXCEPT ELEC & WARM AIR; & PLUMBING FIXTURES

Masco (MAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$84.91
+0.11 (+0.13%) ▲
5d: -2.2% 30d: +21.75% 90d: +13.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$69.78 – $81.69
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.0x STRETCHED
vs 15.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$82.74
-2.4% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$76.94 / $87.86
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.34
Based on -18.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $84.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.78 to $81.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.94, while resistance sits at $87.86.

Market Sentiment: MAS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $69.78 - $81.69
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 22.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $69.78 - $81.69
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $76.94
Resistance Level $87.86
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($82.74)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.04
Wall Street Target $82.74 (-2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 30.0%
Profit Margin 12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.5% premium
PE vs Historical 18.0 vs 15.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $89.46 (+6%)
2-Year Target $94.38 (+11%)
3-Year Target $99.58 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→15) PE COMPRESSION $85.02 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -41.3%) $92.22 (+9%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: -41.3%) $83.75 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 15.3, Growth: -41.3%) $71.19 (-16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.61
Bull Case $96.39 (+14%)
Analyst growth 2.0%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case $87.63 (+3%)
Market implied 2.0%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case $58.43 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MAS)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $MAS, with one user predicting a potential drop below 60 in the coming weeks or months after a hard rejection at the bearish order block.
Key Retail Themes: bearish price prediction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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