Mativ (MATV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATV - Mativ Holdings, Inc.
$11.94
-0.39 (-3.16%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.63%
30d:
-4.48%
90d:
+50.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MATV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MATV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.45
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $11.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.29 to $12.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATV scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+75.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATV scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+75.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.29 -
$12.90
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 75.9% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.29 -
$12.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.73
Resistance Level
$12.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.55
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+75.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6447.8%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.24
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$12.54
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$12.86
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.9%)
$53.95
(+352%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 28.9%)
$25.55
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 28.9%)
$21.72
(+82%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$10.40
(-13%)
Analyst growth -23.3%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$9.46
(-21%)
Market implied -23.3%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$8.38
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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