MATV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATV - Mativ Holdings, Inc.
$7.82
-0.06 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
-3.69%
30d:
-8.75%
90d:
-9.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MATV appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.7% annual earnings decline despite 6448% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MATV appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.7% annual earnings decline despite 6448% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.75
43.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $7.82, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.67 to $8.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6447.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.35, while resistance sits at $9.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+168.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.35, while resistance sits at $9.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+168.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.67 -
$8.64
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 168.5% below Wall St target ($21.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.67 -
$8.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.35
Resistance Level
$9.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.26
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+168.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6447.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.04
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$8.29
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 47.1%)
$86.58
(+1007%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 47.1%)
$24.87
(+218%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 47.1%)
$21.14
(+170%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$7.68
(-2%)
Analyst growth -11.3%, PE expands to 6.2
Base Case
$6.99
(-11%)
Market implied -11.3%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case
$5.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$11.38
(+45.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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