MATV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATV - Mativ Holdings, Inc.
$12.47
0.47 (3.92%)
▲
5d:
+2.13%
30d:
+58.85%
90d:
+45.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.30
6.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $12.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.13 to $12.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.74, while resistance sits at $13.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATV scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+68.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.74, while resistance sits at $13.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATV scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+68.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.13 -
$12.08
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
34.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.4% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.13 -
$12.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.74
Resistance Level
$13.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.98
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+68.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6447.8%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.02
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.59
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$14.19
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 28.9%)
$53.69
(+331%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 28.9%)
$26.69
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 28.9%)
$22.68
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$10.19
(-18%)
Analyst growth -22.8%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$9.26
(-26%)
Market implied -22.8%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$8.16
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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