MATV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATV - Mativ Holdings, Inc.
$7.81
0.03 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
-1.51%
90d:
-15.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MATV appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.1% annual earnings decline despite 6448% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MATV appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.1% annual earnings decline despite 6448% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.45
41.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $7.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.50 to $8.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6447.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.35, while resistance sits at $9.28.
Market Sentiment: MATV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+169.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.35, while resistance sits at $9.28.
Market Sentiment: MATV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+169.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.50 -
$8.06
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 169.9% below Wall St target ($21.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.50 -
$8.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.35
Resistance Level
$9.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.22
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+169.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6447.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 8.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$8.11
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 47.1%)
$86.58
(+1013%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 47.1%)
$24.74
(+218%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 47.1%)
$21.03
(+170%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$7.62
(-2%)
Analyst growth -11.3%, PE expands to 6.1
Base Case
$6.92
(-11%)
Market implied -11.3%, PE stable at 5.5
Bear Case
$5.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.12
(+43.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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