MATV
Mativ Holdings, Inc.
PAPER MILLS
Mativ (MATV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.38
+0.31 (+2.57%)
▲
5d:
+2.31%
30d:
+6.36%
90d:
+2.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$11.36 – $12.11
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.7x
STRETCHED
vs 9.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$21.00
+69.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.11 / $12.55
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.52
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $12.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.36 to $12.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATV scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+69.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATV scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+69.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.36 -
$12.11
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.36 -
$12.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$11.11
Resistance Level
$12.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.6% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.9% growth expectation is conservative given 6448% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.67
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+69.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6447.8%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 9.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.11
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$13.88
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$14.70
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$32.91
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 12.6%)
$17.68
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$14.91
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$9.22
(-26%)
Analyst growth -30.5%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$8.38
(-32%)
Market implied -30.5%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$8.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MATV)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits for $MATV with no recent news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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