MATV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATV - Mativ Holdings, Inc.
$7.58
-0.62 (-7.56%)
▼
5d:
-16.52%
30d:
-13.96%
90d:
-24.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MATV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MATV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.21
46.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $7.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.29 to $9.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.1) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6447.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+177.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+177.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.29 -
$9.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 177.0% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-16.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.29 -
$9.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.56
Resistance Level
$9.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.06
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+177.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6447.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 9.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.82
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.14
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$8.57
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 47.1%)
$87.10
(+1049%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 47.1%)
$24.11
(+218%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 47.1%)
$20.49
(+170%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$8.85
(-4%)
Analyst growth -11.3%, PE expands to 7.1
Base Case
$8.05
(-12%)
Market implied -11.3%, PE stable at 6.4
Bear Case
$6.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.75
(+55.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 12:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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