Matthews International (MATW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATW - Matthews International Corp
$19.29
0.71 (3.82%)
▲
5d:
+1.79%
30d:
-7.39%
90d:
-27.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.68
18.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $19.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.38 to $20.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (44.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 751.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.54, while resistance sits at $20.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATW scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+62.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.54, while resistance sits at $20.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATW scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+62.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.38 -
$20.96
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.4% below Wall St target ($31.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.38 -
$20.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.54
Resistance Level
$20.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.63
Wall Street Target
$31.33
(+62.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
751.8%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 44.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.36
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.06
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→44)
$25.24
(+31%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: 52.6%)
$65.10
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 52.6%)
$53.93
(+180%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 52.6%)
$45.84
(+138%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.6 to 44.2
Stabilization Target:
$34.62
(+79.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+79.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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