Matthews International (MATW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATW - Matthews International Corp
$19.23
0.09 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
-0.26%
30d:
-2.44%
90d:
-30.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.68
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $19.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.89 to $19.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (42.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 751.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATW scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+62.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATW scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+62.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.89 -
$19.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.9% below Wall St target ($31.33)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.89 -
$19.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.42
Resistance Level
$19.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.55
Wall Street Target
$31.33
(+62.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
751.8%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 42.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.58
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.02
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→43)
$24.50
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.5, Growth: 52.6%)
$64.90
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 52.6%)
$52.50
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 52.6%)
$44.63
(+132%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.5 to 42.9
Stabilization Target:
$33.60
(+74.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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