Matthews International (MATW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATW - Matthews International Corp
$20.00
-0.04 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-5.21%
30d:
-13.98%
90d:
-22.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MATW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MATW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.68
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $20.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.14 to $24.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.5) compared to its historical average (45.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 751.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MATW scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+56.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MATW scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+56.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.14 -
$24.89
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($31.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.14 -
$24.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.60
Resistance Level
$21.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.53
Wall Street Target
$31.33
(+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
751.8%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 45.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.58
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→46)
$26.15
(+31%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: 52.6%)
$67.50
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 52.6%)
$53.32
(+167%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 52.6%)
$45.32
(+127%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.5 to 45.8
Stabilization Target:
$35.88
(+79.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+79.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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