MATW
Matthews International Corp
NONFERROUS FOUNDRIES (CASTINGS)
Matthews International (MATW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.73
+0.08 (+0.41%)
▲
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
+4.95%
90d:
-14.77%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (51%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$18.92 – $19.70
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.2x
CHEAP
vs 41.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$31.33
+58.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.90 / $20.69
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.68
16.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $19.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.92 to $19.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.2) compared to its historical average (41.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 751.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.90, while resistance sits at $20.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+58.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.90, while resistance sits at $20.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+58.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.92 -
$19.70
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$18.92 -
$19.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$18.90
Resistance Level
$20.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.8% below Wall St target ($31.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.19
Wall Street Target
$31.33
(+58.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
751.8%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 41.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.76
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.98
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.38
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→42)
$23.87
(+21%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 52.6%)
$66.59
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 52.6%)
$52.50
(+166%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 52.6%)
$44.63
(+126%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.2 to 41.8
Stabilization Target:
$32.74
(+66.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+66.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MATW)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users express bullish sentiment towards $MATW, predicting a potential out-of-reach price increase if the company were to return.
Key Retail Themes:
Anticipated price increase
Company return
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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