MCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCB - Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share
$91.50
-0.44 (-0.48%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.98%
30d:
+0.51%
90d:
+0.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MCB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MCB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.58
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.47
7.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCB is currently trading at $91.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.84 to $96.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.00 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.00 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$90.84 -
$96.16
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($106.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 14.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.84 -
$96.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.75
Resistance Level
$95.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.06
Wall Street Target
$106.00
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$93.97
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$95.01
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.8%)
$404.12
(+340%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 20.8%)
$162.22
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 20.8%)
$137.89
(+50%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.82
Bull Case
$147.09
(+60%)
Analyst growth 45.9%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$133.72
(+45%)
Market implied 45.9%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$62.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 11:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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