MCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCB - Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share
$96.90
-0.26 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
+0.75%
90d:
+7.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.88
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCB is currently trading at $96.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.90 to $98.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $94.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.67 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $94.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.67 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$93.90 -
$98.91
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($112.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$93.90 -
$98.91
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.99
Resistance Level
$94.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.32
Wall Street Target
$112.67
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.4%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.23
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$101.61
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$104.05
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.57
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$349.34
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 11.2%)
$133.40
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$113.39
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.09
Bull Case
$154.50
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$140.45
(+45%)
Market implied 44.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$66.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert C Patent
SELL
4445 shares
2026-01-23
Robert C Patent
SELL
10000 shares
2026-01-22
Nick Rosenberg
SELL
1250 shares
2026-01-21
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