Marchex (MCHX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MCHX - Marchex, Inc. Class B

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$1.29
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: -1.53%
30d: -26.7%
90d: -25.86%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MCHX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MCHX is currently trading at $1.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.28 to $1.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (112.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 58.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MCHX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.22, while resistance sits at $1.50.

Market Sentiment: MCHX scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.00 (+210.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $1.28 - $1.73
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 210.1% below Wall St target ($4.00)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 39% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.28 - $1.73
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.22
Resistance Level $1.50
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.06
Wall Street Target $4.00 (+210.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.6%
Profit Margin -12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -58.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.1 vs 112.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -58.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.16 (-10%)
2-Year Target $1.04 (-19%)
3-Year Target $0.94 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→113) $13.17 (+921%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 300.0%) $11.02 (+754%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 300.0%) $4.35 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.9, Growth: 300.0%) $3.70 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 112.9
Stabilization Target: $18.06 (+1300.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1300.3%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Net
NEUTRAL

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