The Marcus (MCS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCS - The Marcus Corporation
$28.14
-0.16 (-0.57%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
-0.42%
90d:
+14.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MCS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MCS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.40
Based on -7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCS is currently trading at $28.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.17 to $28.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.7) compared to its historical average (29.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.87, while resistance sits at $29.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.87, while resistance sits at $29.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.17 -
$28.47
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.17 -
$28.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.87
Resistance Level
$29.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.69
Wall Street Target
$30.50
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
119.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 29.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.49
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$30.73
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$32.02
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34â30)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: -17.9%)
$20.63
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -17.9%)
$12.16
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -17.9%)
$10.34
(-64%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$36.00
(+27%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 42.9
Base Case
$32.73
(+16%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 39.0
Bear Case
$19.60
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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