The Marcus (MCS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCS - The Marcus Corporation
$27.06
-0.05 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
-3.67%
30d:
-3.6%
90d:
+21.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MCS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MCS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.68
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCS is currently trading at $27.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.16 to $28.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.2) is in line with its historical norms (29.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MCS scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+19.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MCS scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+19.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.16 -
$28.77
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.16 -
$28.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.48
Resistance Level
$28.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.21
Wall Street Target
$32.25
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
119.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
32.2 vs 29.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.84
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$28.65
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$29.48
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.2, Growth: -34.2%)
$19.73
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -34.2%)
$12.49
(-54%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -34.2%)
$10.62
(-61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$34.79
(+29%)
Analyst growth 16.7%, PE expands to 41.4
Base Case
$31.63
(+17%)
Market implied 16.7%, PE stable at 37.7
Bear Case
$18.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Reade Evans
SELL
7671 shares
2026-04-15
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