The Marcus (MCS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCS - The Marcus Corporation
$27.14
-0.01 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
-8.5%
90d:
+21.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MCS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MCS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.68
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCS is currently trading at $27.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.89 to $30.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.3) compared to its historical average (29.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.89 -
$30.49
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.89 -
$30.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.52
Resistance Level
$29.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.31
Wall Street Target
$32.25
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
119.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
32.3 vs 29.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.06
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$29.02
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$30.00
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.3, Growth: -34.2%)
$19.79
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -34.2%)
$12.35
(-55%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -34.2%)
$10.50
(-61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$33.90
(+25%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 40.4
Base Case
$30.82
(+14%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 36.7
Bear Case
$18.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Reade Evans
SELL
7671 shares
2026-04-15
Michael Reade Evans
SELL
37 shares
2026-03-20
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