MDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDU - MDU Resources Group, Inc.
$21.32
0.34 (1.62%)
▲
5d:
+4.66%
30d:
+0.85%
90d:
-4.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.49
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDU is currently trading at $21.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.73 to $21.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.64, while resistance sits at $22.17.
Market Sentiment: MDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.64, while resistance sits at $22.17.
Market Sentiment: MDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.73 -
$21.43
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.29)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -10.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.73 -
$21.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.64
Resistance Level
$22.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.16
Wall Street Target
$23.29
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.38
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$21.45
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$21.51
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.34
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$29.21
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$27.05
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.3%)
$22.99
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$26.52
(+24%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$24.11
(+13%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$14.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Charles M Kelley
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-13
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