MDXG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDXG - MiMedx Group, Inc
$3.73
0.06 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
+1.36%
30d:
+3.32%
90d:
-12.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDXG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDXG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDXG is currently trading at $3.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.60 to $3.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.4) compared to its historical average (26.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDXG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDXG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+74.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDXG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDXG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+74.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.60 -
$3.72
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.3% below Wall St target ($6.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.60 -
$3.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.56
Resistance Level
$3.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.45
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+74.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-33.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
99.5%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
30.5 vs 26.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.89
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$4.05
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$4.22
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$2.47
(-34%)
Analyst growth -38.8%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$2.25
(-40%)
Market implied -38.8%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$2.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDXG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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