MFG
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one-fifth of an Ordinary Share)
National Commercial Banks
Best National Banks Stocks 2026 →
MFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.19
+0.26 (+2.57%)
▲
5d:
+3.93%
30d:
-3.92%
90d:
-7.32%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (82%)
Quality Score
65/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$9.57 – $10.54
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.6x
FAIR
vs 13.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.64
+17.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.04 / $10.20
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MFG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Get Alerted When MFG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.70
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MFG is currently trading at $10.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.57 to $10.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MFG scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.64 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MFG scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.64 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.57 -
$10.54
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.57 -
$10.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$9.04
Resistance Level
$10.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.63
Wall Street Target
$11.64
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.7%
Profit Margin
29.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.10
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$10.27
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$10.45
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$20.33
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 14.7%)
$14.98
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$12.73
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$10.04
(+1%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$9.13
(-8%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$6.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share MFG Analysis
Share this live MFG analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MFG)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Feb 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on MFG are bearish (sentiment score -0.56) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MFG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$76 | 60 HOLD |
|
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partn… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$121 | 50 HOLD |
|
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares In… |
BUY
21 analysts |
$19 | 47 HOLD |
|
FLG
Flagstar Bank, National … |
BUY
18 analysts |
$13 | 59 HOLD |
|
SSB
SouthState Corporation |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$120 | 52 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive MFG Research Pages
