AG MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST (MITT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MITT - AG MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST, INC.
$5.46
0.13 (2.44%)
▲
5d:
-1.44%
30d:
-11.79%
90d:
-24.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When MITT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MITT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MITT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.47
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.74
29.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MITT is currently trading at $5.46, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.44 to $6.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MITT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.20, while resistance sits at $5.68.
Market Sentiment: MITT scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.58 (+57.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MITT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.20, while resistance sits at $5.68.
Market Sentiment: MITT scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.58 (+57.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.44 -
$6.23
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
69th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 69th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.2% below Wall St target ($8.58)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 83/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.44 -
$6.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.50
(9.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.20
Resistance Level
$5.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.50
Wall Street Target
$8.58
(+57.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
53.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$5.66
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$37.62
(+589%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 16.0%)
$8.52
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$7.24
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$9.62
(+76%)
Analyst growth 64.1%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$8.74
(+60%)
Market implied 64.1%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$3.62
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$7.77
(+42.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MITT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Mortgage Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Mortgage by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp. |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$13 | 67 BUY |
|
NLY
Annaly Capital Managemen… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$23 | 74 BUY |
|
STWD
Starwood Property Trust … |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$19 | 60 HOLD |
|
RWT
Redwood Trust Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$5 | 54 HOLD |
|
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$15 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced MITT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MITT price and gamma walls.