MKSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MKSI - MKS Inc. Common Stock

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$355.83
-12.75 (-3.46%) ▼
5d: -3.32%
30d: +12.58%
90d: +32.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MKSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$646.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$401.43
11.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MKSI is currently trading at $355.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $327.70 to $401.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (21.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $329.01, while resistance sits at $447.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $405.77 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $327.70 - $401.85
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($405.77)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $327.70 - $401.85
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $329.01
Resistance Level $447.62
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.31
Wall Street Target $405.77 (+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.2%
Profit Margin 8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 24.3 vs 21.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $381.85 (+4%)
2-Year Target $395.60 (+7%)
3-Year Target $409.84 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→22) PE COMPRESSION $369.15 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.3, Growth: 29.4%) $798.23 (+117%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.4%) $715.05 (+94%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 29.4%) $607.79 (+65%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $35.57
Bull Case $445.06 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case $368.58 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case $281.96 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jacqueline F Moloney SELL 340 shares 2026-03-12
Eric Robert Taranto SELL 4568 shares 2026-03-06
Elizabeth Mora SELL 300 shares 2026-03-02

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