Mesa Laboratories (MLAB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MLAB - Mesa Laboratories Inc

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$121.66
0.75 (0.62%) ▲
5d: -5.35%
30d: +7.85%
90d: +13.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MLAB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.02
Based on -11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MLAB is currently trading at $121.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.11 to $127.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.4) compared to its historical average (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MLAB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $120.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: MLAB scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $107.11 - $127.58
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($117.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.8% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $107.11 - $127.58
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $120.69
Resistance Level $132.70
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.43
Wall Street Target $117.50 (-2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -42.4%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.8% premium
PE vs Historical 22.4 vs 16.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $132.76 (+10%)
2-Year Target $145.77 (+21%)
3-Year Target $160.05 (+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→17) PE COMPRESSION $120.58 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -26.7%) $88.14 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -26.7%) $79.25 (-35%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -26.7%) $66.41 (-45%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.43
Bull Case $146.00 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case $120.91 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case $92.50 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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NEUTRAL

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