Mesa Laboratories (MLAB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLAB - Mesa Laboratories Inc
$136.10
3.55 (2.68%)
▲
5d:
+2.34%
30d:
+5.89%
90d:
+41.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.72
Based on -11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLAB is currently trading at $136.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.41 to $133.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $138.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLAB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $138.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLAB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$124.41 -
$133.22
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($125.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.0% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$124.41 -
$133.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.40
Resistance Level
$138.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.59
Wall Street Target
$125.00
(-5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.4%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.0% premium
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 17.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.46
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$166.27
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$186.22
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$132.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: -26.7%)
$96.63
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -26.7%)
$80.16
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -26.7%)
$68.13
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.84
Bull Case
$160.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$132.55
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$101.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 05, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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