MARCUS & MILLICHAP (MMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MMI - MARCUS & MILLICHAP

REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)
$31.27
0.20 (0.64%) ▲
5d: -2.62%
30d: +0.42%
90d: +3.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.11
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MMI is currently trading at $31.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.07 to $32.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.6) is in line with its historical norms (34.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 56.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $28.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $31.07 - $32.22
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.5% above Wall St target ($28.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.07 - $32.22
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.49
Resistance Level $32.63
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.62
Wall Street Target $28.00 (-10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 56.9%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 33.6 vs 34.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.89 (-1%)
2-Year Target $30.52 (-2%)
3-Year Target $30.16 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→35) $31.30 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.6, Growth: 93.8%) $105.54 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 93.8%) $63.31 (+103%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 93.8%) $53.81 (+72%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (84x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 83.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case $68.35 (+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 92.4
Base Case $62.14 (+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 84.0
Bear Case $21.13 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 71.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.6 to 34.9
Stabilization Target: $32.46 (+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.8%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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