MARCUS & MILLICHAP (MMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMI - MARCUS & MILLICHAP
$28.58
-0.38 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
-3.93%
30d:
-8.1%
90d:
-10.58%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMI is currently trading at $28.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.66 to $31.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.1) compared to its historical average (34.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 56.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MMI scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MMI scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.66 -
$31.96
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.66 -
$31.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.22
Resistance Level
$31.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.14
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.9%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.1 vs 34.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.95
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$26.97
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$26.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→35)
$29.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.1, Growth: 93.8%)
$97.74
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 93.8%)
$64.03
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 93.8%)
$54.43
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (77x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 76.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$62.59
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 84.6
Base Case
$56.90
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 76.9
Bear Case
$19.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 65.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.1 to 34.7
Stabilization Target:
$32.27
(+11.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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