MAXIMUS (MMS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$65.55
-0.57 (-0.86%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.32%
30d:
+12.86%
90d:
+16.93%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
7d
Protect MMS Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$58.22 â $65.86
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.9x
FAIR
vs 7.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$92.50
+39.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
15th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$62.16 / $70.98
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MMS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.13
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMS is currently trading at $65.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.22 to $65.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.16, while resistance sits at $70.97.
Market Sentiment: MMS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.50 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.16, while resistance sits at $70.97.
Market Sentiment: MMS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.50 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$58.22 -
$65.86
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$58.22 -
$65.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$3.43
(5.2%)
Support Level
$62.16
Resistance Level
$70.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($92.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.91
Wall Street Target
$92.50
(+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.25
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$66.38
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$66.52
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.44
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$188.76
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$75.17
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 4.4%)
$63.90
(-3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.77
Bull Case
$89.16
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$81.06
(+23%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$44.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MMS)
Bearish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment on $MMS dominates StockTwits, with users expressing concerns over government spending and the potential collapse of the gig economy. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Government spending
Job market conditions
Gig economy
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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