Molina Healthcare (MOH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOH - Molina Healthcare, Inc.
$189.54
8.69 (4.81%)
▲
5d:
-0.69%
30d:
-6.46%
90d:
-16.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MOH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MOH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$356.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$221.27
14.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOH is currently trading at $189.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $190.48 to $204.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $178.00, while resistance sits at $202.79. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.12 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $178.00, while resistance sits at $202.79. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.12 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$190.48 -
$204.67
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($209.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -5.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$190.48 -
$204.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.03
(7.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.00
Resistance Level
$202.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.17
Wall Street Target
$209.12
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 21.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$191.81
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$194.12
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$196.45
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$189.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 62.9%)
$639.70
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 62.9%)
$588.74
(+211%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 62.9%)
$500.43
(+164%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.03
Bull Case
$228.87
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$189.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$145.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 4:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MOH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOH price and gamma walls.
