Morningstar (MORN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$248.65
+2.18 (+0.88%)
▲
5d:
+1.8%
30d:
+21.67%
90d:
+20.18%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect MORN Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$202.32 – $237.55
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x
FAIR
vs 15.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$254.33
+2.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$215.75 / $248.88
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MORN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$344.27
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$213.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MORN is currently trading at $248.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.32 to $237.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MORN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $248.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MORN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MORN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $248.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MORN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$202.32 -
$237.55
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$202.32 -
$237.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.54
(5.4%)
Support Level
$215.75
Resistance Level
$248.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
MORN is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($254.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.63
Wall Street Target
$254.33
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$257.35
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$266.36
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$275.68
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$248.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$439.94
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$368.28
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 14.0%)
$313.04
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.40
Bull Case
$355.69
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.2%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$323.35
(+30%)
Market implied 31.2%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$167.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share MORN Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MORN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on $MORN is rising based on upcoming entry plans according to a trader on StockTwits. The latest news article discusses the revenue growth of CME and Morningstar, with the latter integrating with Microsoft and relocating operations.
Key Retail Themes:
StockTwits trader bullishness on $MORN
CME and Morningstar revenue growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MORN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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