Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.02
-0.03 (-0.59%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
-0.79%
90d:
+3.29%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Updated Jan 30, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
41.8x
FAIR
vs 43.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.17
+2.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.93 / $5.28
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MPW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPW is currently trading at $5.02, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.8) is in line with its historical norms (43.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MPW scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MPW scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
40.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$4.93
Resistance Level
$5.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jan 30, 2026
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Holding MPW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($5.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.83
Wall Street Target
$5.17
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.6%
Profit Margin
-70.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.8 vs 43.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.97
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.92
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$4.87
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42â43)
$5.02
(0%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.8 to 43.1
Stabilization Target:
$5.17
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MPW)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jan 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
There is a balanced sentiment towards $MPW on StockTwits with an equal distribution of bullish and bearish views. No recent news articles were found.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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