MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
Best Entertainment Stocks 2026 →
MSGE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$79.18
-0.61 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
+5.01%
30d:
+0.09%
90d:
-7.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$77.84 – $80.78
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.5x
FAIR
vs 26.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$91.88
+15.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$74.05 / $82.06
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MSGE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.81
9.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSGE is currently trading at $79.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.84 to $80.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.5) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSGE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.05, while resistance sits at $82.06.
Market Sentiment: MSGE scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.88 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSGE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.05, while resistance sits at $82.06.
Market Sentiment: MSGE scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.88 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.84 -
$80.78
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
87.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$77.84 -
$80.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.58
(4.5%)
Support Level
$74.05
Resistance Level
$82.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 37.2% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.47
Wall Street Target
$91.88
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.8%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.15
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$82.53
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$83.93
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 159.4%)
$269.29
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 159.4%)
$194.71
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 159.4%)
$165.51
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.03
Bull Case
$124.15
(+56%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 42.7
Base Case
$112.87
(+42%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case
$53.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MSGE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests optimism about $MSGE's potential earnings from monetizing the Theater at the Garden, while a recent article from Yahoo Finance discusses whether this opportunity is already reflected in the share price.
Key Retail Themes:
Theater monetization
Market sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSGE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MSGE Option Strategies
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