MTRX
Matrix Service Co
CONSTRUCTION - SPECIAL TRADE CONTRACTORS
Matrix Service (MTRX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.18
-0.08 (-0.86%)
▼
5d:
-4.77%
30d:
-9.47%
90d:
-23.37%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$9.31 – $10.36
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.3x
CHEAP
vs 15.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.00
+62.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.47 / $9.96
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTRX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.29
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.49
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRX is currently trading at $9.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.31 to $10.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 175.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.46, while resistance sits at $9.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+62.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.46, while resistance sits at $9.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+62.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.31 -
$10.36
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.31 -
$10.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.78
(8.5%)
Support Level
$8.47
Resistance Level
$9.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MTRX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.0% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.32
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+62.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.0%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 15.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.76
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$8.29
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$7.84
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$9.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 0.0%)
$13.80
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$9.26
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$7.87
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$20.33
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$18.48
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$6.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$10.91
(+17.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MTRX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages express bullish sentiment towards $MTRX, with traders discussing potential breakouts for HUHU Technology International Group. No recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
bullish sentiment
potential breakout
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 8:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTRX price and gamma walls.
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