MUFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.99
+0.34 (+1.55%)
▲
5d:
+0.07%
30d:
-1.85%
90d:
-4.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$21.26 – $22.38
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.8x
FAIR
vs 13.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.77
+9.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.50 / $22.05
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MUFG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.70
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MUFG is currently trading at $21.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.26 to $22.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUFG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MUFG scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUFG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MUFG scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.26 -
$22.38
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.26 -
$22.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$20.50
Resistance Level
$22.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.77)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.80
Wall Street Target
$23.77
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.15
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$22.66
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$23.18
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$42.65
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$31.78
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 13.6%)
$27.01
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$22.82
(+5%)
Analyst growth -4.4%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$20.75
(-4%)
Market implied -4.4%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$14.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MUFG)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Sep 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on MUFG are bullish (sentiment score +0.38) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MUFG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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