MUFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MUFG - Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.
$23.89
0.60 (2.58%)
▲
5d:
-0.99%
30d:
+4.96%
90d:
+18.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MUFG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MUFG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.81
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MUFG is currently trading at $23.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.05 to $23.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUFG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MUFG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUFG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MUFG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.05 -
$23.40
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($21.59)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.05 -
$23.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.72
Resistance Level
$24.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.33
Wall Street Target
$21.59
(-9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.49
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$27.20
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$29.02
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.6%)
$43.31
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$35.07
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$28.78
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.55
Bull Case
$24.18
(+1%)
Analyst growth -5.6%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$21.98
(-8%)
Market implied -5.6%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$15.84
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MUFG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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