MYR Group (MYRG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MYRG - MYR Group, Inc.

WATER, SEWER, PIPELINE, COMM & POWER LINE CONSTRUCTION
$291.26
6.79 (2.39%) ▲
5d: +2.52%
30d: -12.45%
90d: -31.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MYRG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$632.43
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$392.69
25.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MYRG is currently trading at $291.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $290.91 to $331.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (28.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 86.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MYRG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $277.00, while resistance sits at $311.45.

Market Sentiment: MYRG scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $412.00 (+41.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $290.91 - $331.72
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 92.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($412.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $290.91 - $331.72
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$22.11 (7.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $277.00
Resistance Level $311.45
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.99
Wall Street Target $412.00 (+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 86.5%
Profit Margin 4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 28.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $262.13 (-10%)
2-Year Target $235.92 (-19%)
3-Year Target $212.33 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→29) $302.75 (+4%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.6%) $502.66 (+73%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 19.6%) $498.12 (+71%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 19.6%) $423.40 (+45%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.44
Bull Case $436.76 (+50%)
Analyst growth 39.6%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case $397.05 (+36%)
Market implied 39.6%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case $193.44 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 28.5
Stabilization Target: $415.29 (+42.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +42.6%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced MYRG Option Strategies

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