MYRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MYRG - MYR Group, Inc.
$411.89
-7.45 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-6.96%
30d:
+1.15%
90d:
+29.42%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MYRG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MYRG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$533.50
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$331.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MYRG is currently trading at $411.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $422.52 to $474.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.0) is in line with its historical norms (29.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MYRG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $405.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MYRG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $405.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$422.52 -
$474.82
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MYRG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($445.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$422.52 -
$474.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$39.48
(9.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$405.00
Resistance Level
$484.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.97
Wall Street Target
$445.50
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.2%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
31.0 vs 29.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$418.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$424.34
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$430.70
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$413.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.0, Growth: 16.0%)
$642.89
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$452.13
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.0%)
$384.31
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.06
Bull Case
$677.15
(+64%)
Analyst growth 46.8%, PE expands to 50.9
Base Case
$615.59
(+50%)
Market implied 46.8%, PE stable at 46.3
Bear Case
$285.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MYRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MYRG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MYRG price and gamma walls.
