Northeast Bank (NBN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$129.11
-3.98 (-2.99%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.21%
30d:
+2.37%
90d:
-5.17%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$124.96 â $130.61
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.2x
FAIR
vs 8.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$145.50
+9.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$123.94 / $135.34
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NBN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.95
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.57
5.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NBN is currently trading at $129.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.96 to $130.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $123.94, while resistance sits at $135.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $123.94, while resistance sits at $135.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$124.96 -
$130.61
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$124.96 -
$130.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$123.94
Resistance Level
$135.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($145.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.18
Wall Street Target
$145.50
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Profit Margin
46.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$138.20
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$140.82
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$133.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$495.56
(+272%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 19.8%)
$229.03
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$194.68
(+46%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.49
Bull Case
$158.83
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.5%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$144.39
(+9%)
Market implied 7.5%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$91.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL
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