Noodles & (NDLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NDLS - Noodles & Company Class A

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$11.90
-0.63 (-5.03%) β–Ό
5d: -14.08%
30d: -9.02%
90d: -22.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NDLS is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.01
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NDLS is currently trading at $11.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.95 to $14.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (30.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NDLS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: NDLS scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $12.95 - $14.03
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 85.3% above Wall St target ($1.75)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.95 - $14.03
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.56
Resistance Level $15.09
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.87
Wall Street Target $1.75 (-85.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Profit Margin -4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.9 vs 30.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.30 (-5%)
2-Year Target $10.74 (-10%)
3-Year Target $10.20 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26β†’30) $11.91 (+0%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.9 to 30.2
Stabilization Target: $13.89 (+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.7%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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