Noodles & (NDLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NDLS - Noodles & Company Class A

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$13.80
0.55 (4.15%) ▲
5d: +6.89%
30d: +0.15%
90d: -4.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NDLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.01
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NDLS is currently trading at $13.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.19 to $14.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.0) is in line with its historical norms (30.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NDLS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: NDLS scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.75. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $13.19 - $14.63
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 87.3% above Wall St target ($1.75)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.19 - $14.63
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.60
Resistance Level $13.95
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.00
Wall Street Target $1.75 (-87.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Profit Margin -4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 30.0 vs 30.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.77 (0%)
2-Year Target $13.74 (0%)
3-Year Target $13.72 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→30) $13.81 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.0 to 30.2
Stabilization Target: $13.89 (+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.7%
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Last updated: October 01, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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