NDLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NDLS - Noodles & Company Class A
$15.03
-0.02 (-0.13%)
▼
5d:
-16.13%
30d:
+21.7%
90d:
+35.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NDLS is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NDLS is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NDLS is currently trading at $15.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.80 to $17.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.7) is in line with its historical norms (30.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NDLS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NDLS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.80 -
$17.76
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 88.4% above Wall St target ($1.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 0.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.80 -
$17.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.86
Resistance Level
$18.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.67
Wall Street Target
$1.75
(-88.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
32.7 vs 30.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.44
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.85
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$16.28
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NDLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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