Domino's Pizza (DPZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DPZ - Domino's Pizza Inc.
$311.60
-5.70 (-1.80%)
▼
5d:
-10.21%
30d:
-11.91%
90d:
-0.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
30d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $341.08 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026
Strength: 3.8/10
Get Alerted When DPZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DPZ is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DPZ is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$512.98
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$318.52
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DPZ is currently trading at $311.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.91 to $357.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $310.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DPZ scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $380.64 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $310.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DPZ scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $380.64 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$330.91 -
$357.16
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DPZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($380.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$330.91 -
$357.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$17.45
(5.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$310.64
Resistance Level
$353.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.89
Wall Street Target
$380.64
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 17.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$295.09
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$279.45
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$264.64
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$310.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.0%)
$561.82
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 10.0%)
$414.87
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 10.0%)
$352.64
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.42
Bull Case
$419.17
(+35%)
Analyst growth 20.1%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$381.06
(+22%)
Market implied 20.1%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$215.76
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$366.11
(+17.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DPZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$203 | 51 HOLD |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$62 | 54 HOLD |
|
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc |
BUY
31 analysts |
$231 | 56 HOLD |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$78 | 43 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$44 | 37 SELL |
Advanced DPZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DPZ price and gamma walls.
