DPZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DPZ - Domino's Pizza Inc.
$309.85
10.39 (3.47%)
▲
5d:
+1.29%
30d:
-1.56%
90d:
-15.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
6d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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2 traders called DPZ this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DPZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DPZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$516.11
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$320.46
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DPZ is currently trading at $309.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.02 to $316.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $300.25, while resistance sits at $319.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.75 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $300.25, while resistance sits at $319.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.75 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$295.02 -
$316.53
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($393.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$295.02 -
$316.53
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$300.25
Resistance Level
$319.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.32
Wall Street Target
$393.75
(+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 17.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$277.90
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$257.89
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$239.32
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$299.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$594.62
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.3%)
$390.93
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 9.3%)
$332.29
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.27
Bull Case
$400.79
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$364.35
(+22%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$204.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$374.34
(+25.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DPZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
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