DPZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DPZ - Domino's Pizza Inc.
$347.44
-4.81 (-1.37%)
▼
5d:
+4.35%
30d:
+14.22%
90d:
+2.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DPZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DPZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$520.73
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$323.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DPZ is currently trading at $347.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $293.54 to $332.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $315.68, while resistance sits at $364.58.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.74 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $315.68, while resistance sits at $364.58.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.74 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$293.54 -
$332.02
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DPZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($386.74)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$293.54 -
$332.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$315.68
Resistance Level
$364.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.59
Wall Street Target
$386.74
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$340.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$333.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$326.01
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$347.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$579.34
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 10.1%)
$463.52
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$393.99
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.26
Bull Case
$470.28
(+35%)
Analyst growth 21.4%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$427.53
(+23%)
Market implied 21.4%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$239.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$370.79
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DPZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DPZ price and gamma walls.
