QSR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QSR - Restaurant Brands International Inc.
$75.26
0.32 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
+0.63%
30d:
+3.56%
90d:
-2.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QSR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: QSR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.47
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QSR is currently trading at $75.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.08 to $74.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 100% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QSR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.46 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QSR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.46 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$72.08 -
$74.71
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.08 -
$74.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.99
Resistance Level
$75.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.96
Wall Street Target
$85.46
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.18
(0%)
2-Year Target
$75.11
(0%)
3-Year Target
$75.03
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$75.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$126.73
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$98.70
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$83.89
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$117.61
(+56%)
Analyst growth 42.7%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$106.91
(+42%)
Market implied 42.7%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$50.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$75.43
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QSR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Housman
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-20
Jill Granat
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-18
Joshua Kobza
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-18
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