QSR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QSR - Restaurant Brands International Inc.
$74.02
-0.32 (-0.43%)
▼
5d:
+2.14%
30d:
+3.58%
90d:
-8.25%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QSR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QSR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.50
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QSR is currently trading at $74.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.61 to $75.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 100% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: QSR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.04 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: QSR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.04 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$72.61 -
$75.19
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.61 -
$75.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.88
Resistance Level
$76.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.77
Wall Street Target
$85.04
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.72
(0%)
2-Year Target
$73.43
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$73.14
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$74.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.9%)
$118.28
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$95.68
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$81.33
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.06
Bull Case
$117.95
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$107.23
(+45%)
Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$50.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$75.04
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QSR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Housman
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-20
Jill Granat
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-18
Joshua Kobza
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-18
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