QSR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QSR - Restaurant Brands International Inc.
$76.96
0.47 (0.61%)
â˛
5d:
-4.11%
30d:
+2.75%
90d:
+4.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: QSR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: QSR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.83
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QSR is currently trading at $76.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.58 to $79.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.92 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.92 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$74.58 -
$79.74
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.58 -
$79.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.03
Resistance Level
$81.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.27
Wall Street Target
$85.92
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
151.2%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.80
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$77.10
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$77.41
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.3%)
$116.70
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 9.3%)
$99.90
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 9.3%)
$84.92
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.91
Bull Case
$95.97
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.3%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$87.25
(+14%)
Market implied 13.3%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$52.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QSR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Housman
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-20
Jill Granat
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-18
Joshua Kobza
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-18
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