Wingstop (WING) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WING - Wingstop Inc
$105.85
1.48 (1.42%)
â˛
5d:
+6.84%
30d:
-6.46%
90d:
-37.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WING is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WING is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.87
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.08
28.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WING is currently trading at $105.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.22 to $113.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (34.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $95.82, while resistance sits at $109.78.
Market Sentiment: WING scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.62 (+89.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $95.82, while resistance sits at $109.78.
Market Sentiment: WING scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.62 (+89.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$102.22 -
$113.38
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WING? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 89.4% below Wall St target ($197.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$102.22 -
$113.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.82
Resistance Level
$109.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.54
Wall Street Target
$197.62
(+89.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 34.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.92
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$84.53
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$76.08
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â34)
$132.78
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.6%)
$191.07
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 20.6%)
$183.00
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 20.6%)
$155.55
(+49%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.23
Bull Case
$146.36
(+40%)
Analyst growth 26.3%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$133.05
(+28%)
Market implied 26.3%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$71.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 34.1
Stabilization Target:
$182.14
(+74.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WING showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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