Northeast Community Bancorp (NECB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NECB - Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc.
$27.28
-1.51 (-5.23%)
▼
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
+2.42%
90d:
+2.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NECB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NECB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.19
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.78
14.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NECB is currently trading at $27.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.55 to $27.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.55 -
$27.78
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -5.8% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.55 -
$27.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.88
Resistance Level
$29.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.21
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.18
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.59
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$30.01
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.8%)
$146.63
(+410%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 22.8%)
$53.25
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 22.8%)
$45.27
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$39.87
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.3%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$36.24
(+26%)
Market implied 28.3%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$19.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NECB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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