NECB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NECB - Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc.
$26.28
0.36 (1.39%)
▲
5d:
-4.82%
30d:
+4.04%
90d:
+2.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NECB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NECB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.89
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NECB is currently trading at $26.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.28 to $27.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.28 -
$27.31
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with -1.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.28 -
$27.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.89
Resistance Level
$25.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.36
Wall Street Target
$29.75
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Profit Margin
41.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.09
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$27.93
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$28.80
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.0%)
$112.12
(+327%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$37.89
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 13.0%)
$32.21
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.21
Bull Case
$31.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 11.2%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$28.83
(+10%)
Market implied 11.2%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$17.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NECB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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