NECB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NECB - Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc.
$26.37
0.12 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-2.44%
30d:
-0.3%
90d:
+9.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NECB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NECB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.42
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NECB is currently trading at $26.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.48 to $27.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.48 -
$27.05
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with -5.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.48 -
$27.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.89
Resistance Level
$27.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.39
Wall Street Target
$29.75
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.11
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$27.87
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$28.65
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.0%)
$103.31
(+292%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$38.02
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 13.0%)
$32.32
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$33.25
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.2%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$30.23
(+15%)
Market implied 15.2%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$17.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NECB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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