NECB
Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc.
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Northeast Community Bancorp (NECB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$29.07
-0.02 (-0.07%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.24%
30d:
+5.14%
90d:
+7.55%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$27.42 â $29.13
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.0x
FAIR
vs 6.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$31.50
+8.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.42 / $30.50
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NECB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.79
16.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NECB is currently trading at $29.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.42 to $29.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NECB scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NECB scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$27.42 -
$29.13
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$27.42 -
$29.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$28.42
Resistance Level
$30.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -3.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.97
Wall Street Target
$31.50
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.13
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$29.19
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$29.24
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.7%)
$184.99
(+536%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 30.7%)
$64.94
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 30.7%)
$55.20
(+90%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.03
Bull Case
$44.04
(+52%)
Analyst growth 37.6%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$40.03
(+38%)
Market implied 37.6%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$19.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NECB)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $NECB with one user expressing the belief that the stock is too cheap.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NECB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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