NEXA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.43
-0.55 (-4.59%)
▼
5d:
+1.06%
30d:
-9.64%
90d:
-19.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$11.49 – $12.64
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.5x
CHEAP
vs 5.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.64
+19.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
37th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.95 / $12.29
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEXA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.85
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.70
2.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEXA is currently trading at $11.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.49 to $12.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.5) compared to its historical average (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6235.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $12.29. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.64 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $12.29. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.64 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.49 -
$12.64
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.49 -
$12.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.85
(7.4%)
Support Level
$10.95
Resistance Level
$12.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.50
Wall Street Target
$13.64
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6235.0%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.5 vs 5.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$12.86
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.3%)
$62.36
(+446%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.5, Growth: -1.3%)
$10.99
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.0, Growth: -1.3%)
$9.34
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$26.36
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$23.96
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$8.15
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.5 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$17.64
(+54.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NEXA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
There is a bullish sentiment dominating $NEXA on StockTwits with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
absence of news
bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEXA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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