NEXA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEXA - Nexa Resources S.A. Common Shares
$13.47
-0.48 (-3.44%)
▼
5d:
-6.52%
30d:
-5.07%
90d:
+40.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
Get Alerted When NEXA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEXA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NEXA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.30
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEXA is currently trading at $13.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.26 to $15.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.3) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 653.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $16.25. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEXA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.31. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $16.25. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEXA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.31. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.26 -
$15.23
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.7% above Wall St target ($12.31)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.26 -
$15.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.43
(10.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.02
Resistance Level
$16.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.28
Wall Street Target
$12.31
(-11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
653.7%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.3 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.11
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$12.33
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$11.59
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$14.03
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.4%)
$59.97
(+330%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.3, Growth: 1.4%)
$14.55
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 1.4%)
$12.37
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$25.68
(+84%)
Analyst growth 67.1%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$23.34
(+67%)
Market implied 67.1%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$9.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.3 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$16.90
(+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NEXA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TECK
Teck Resources Ltd Class… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$47 | 57 HOLD |
|
VALE
Vale SA ADR |
BUY
26 analysts |
$17 | 47 HOLD |
|
WRN
Western Copper and Gold … |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$6 | 46 HOLD |
|
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$6 | 50 HOLD |
|
MP
MP Materials Corp |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$80 | 47 HOLD |
