NEXA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEXA - Nexa Resources S.A. Common Shares
$13.31
0.17 (1.29%)
â˛
5d:
-3.9%
30d:
-8.65%
90d:
+3.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Get Alerted When NEXA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NEXA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NEXA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.48
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.17
34.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEXA is currently trading at $13.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.46 to $14.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6235.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.90 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.90 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.46 -
$14.90
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.90)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.46 -
$14.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.10
Resistance Level
$14.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.32
Wall Street Target
$14.90
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6235.0%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.05
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.90
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$9.87
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â6)
$13.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.7%)
$112.13
(+742%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 21.7%)
$24.00
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 21.7%)
$20.40
(+53%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$21.86
(+64%)
Analyst growth 47.5%, PE expands to 7.1
Base Case
$19.87
(+49%)
Market implied 47.5%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$9.16
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$17.88
(+34.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NEXA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VALE
Vale SA ADR |
BUY
26 analysts |
$17 | 43 HOLD |
|
TECK
Teck Resources Ltd ClassâĻ |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$53 | 24 SELL |
|
MP
MP Materials Corp |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$75 | 50 HOLD |
|
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$6 | 50 HOLD |
|
WRN
Western Copper and Gold âĻ |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$6 | 35 SELL |
