NGVT
Ingevity Corporation
CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
Ingevity (NGVT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$63.24
+2.46 (+4.05%)
▲
5d:
-14.23%
30d:
-9.76%
90d:
-16.05%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect NGVT Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$65.86 – $74.08
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.6x
CHEAP
vs 12.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$85.50
+35.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.47 / $76.33
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NGVT is down 14.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.20
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.70
2.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGVT is currently trading at $63.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.86 to $74.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.47, while resistance sits at $76.33. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.50 (+35.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.47, while resistance sits at $76.33. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.50 (+35.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$65.86 -
$74.08
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
87.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$65.86 -
$74.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.83
(4.5%)
Support Level
$59.47
Resistance Level
$76.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding NGVT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($85.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.60
Wall Street Target
$85.50
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.08
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$57.07
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$54.22
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$62.89
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$160.09
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$85.48
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$72.66
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.34
Bull Case
$76.36
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$63.24
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$48.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$73.35
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NGVT)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish sentiment is dominating $NGVT on StockTwits, with traders identifying a bullish tweezers and bullish engulfing candlestick pattern at the downtrend.
Key Retail Themes:
bullish reversal patterns
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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