NGVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGVT - Ingevity Corporation
$72.66
-0.08 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
+11.42%
90d:
+8.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.16
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.37
1.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGVT is currently trading at $72.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.08 to $71.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $69.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.50 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $69.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.50 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$66.08 -
$71.25
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.08 -
$71.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.06
Resistance Level
$69.97
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.63
Wall Street Target
$85.50
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
199.0%
Profit Margin
-10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.73
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$72.81
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$72.88
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.7%)
$199.39
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 16.7%)
$115.58
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 16.7%)
$98.24
(+35%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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