NGVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGVT - Ingevity Corporation
$71.60
-0.47 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
-3.06%
30d:
+5.2%
90d:
-4.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
Get Alerted When NGVT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.14
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.95
9.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGVT is currently trading at $71.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.66 to $74.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 199.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $69.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $69.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$69.66 -
$74.50
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($89.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.66 -
$74.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.06
Resistance Level
$69.97
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.05
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
199.0%
Profit Margin
-10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.53
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$69.47
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$68.43
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$71.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.6%)
$216.05
(+202%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 18.6%)
$119.57
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 18.6%)
$101.63
(+42%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$74.84
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NGVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$547 | 62 BUY |
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$319 | 58 HOLD |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$379 | 57 HOLD |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$331 | 62 BUY |
|
IFF
International Flavors & … |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$91 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced NGVT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NGVT price and gamma walls.
