SR
Spire Inc.
NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION
Spire (SR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$88.27
-1.17 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
-2.26%
30d:
+10.27%
90d:
+6.44%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$79.82 – $88.27
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.1x
FAIR
vs 15.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$91.00
+3.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$85.85 / $92.52
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.36
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $88.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.82 to $88.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$79.82 -
$88.27
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$79.82 -
$88.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$85.85
Resistance Level
$92.52
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($91.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.11
Wall Street Target
$91.00
(+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1138.2%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$91.48
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$93.12
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 36.6%)
$277.45
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 36.6%)
$225.07
(+155%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 36.6%)
$191.31
(+117%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.45
Bull Case
$156.25
(+77%)
Analyst growth 58.8%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$142.04
(+61%)
Market implied 58.8%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$60.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $SR with one user expressing difficulty hating the stock currently.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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