SR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SR - Spire Inc.
$78.36
2.42 (3.19%)
▲
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-9.71%
90d:
-13.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$166.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.56
24.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $78.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.35 to $85.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.56 (+29.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.56 (+29.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$78.35 -
$85.33
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($98.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.35 -
$85.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$87.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.74
Wall Street Target
$98.56
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 15.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.90
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$69.99
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$67.19
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$75.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.8%)
$301.18
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 35.8%)
$190.04
(+150%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 35.8%)
$161.54
(+113%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$94.80
(+25%)
Analyst growth 11.9%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$86.19
(+14%)
Market implied 11.9%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$52.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$85.65
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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