SR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SR - Spire Inc.
$79.86
-0.67 (-0.83%)
▼
5d:
-4.11%
30d:
+2.38%
90d:
-12.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.58
22.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $79.86, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.35 to $82.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+19.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+19.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$79.35 -
$82.13
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.35 -
$82.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.26
Resistance Level
$84.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.50
Wall Street Target
$95.00
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.26
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$76.70
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$75.16
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$79.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 37.0%)
$293.80
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 37.0%)
$205.47
(+157%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 37.0%)
$174.65
(+119%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91
Bull Case
$99.38
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.2%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$90.35
(+13%)
Market implied 12.2%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$54.76
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$84.83
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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