NJR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NJR - New Jersey Resources Corp
$58.08
0.19 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-2.42%
30d:
+1.03%
90d:
+3.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NJR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NJR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.09
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NJR is currently trading at $58.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.08 to $59.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$57.08 -
$59.29
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.08 -
$59.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.44
Resistance Level
$60.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.81
Wall Street Target
$60.43
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.22
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$60.58
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$61.98
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -3.9%)
$63.34
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: -3.9%)
$51.37
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: -3.9%)
$43.67
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$66.83
(+15%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$60.75
(+5%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$39.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NJR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Reich
SELL
5449 shares
2026-03-19
Roberto Bel
SELL
6105 shares
2026-03-16
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