NNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NNI - Nelnet, Inc. Class A
$129.55
-0.18 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
+1.01%
30d:
-0.07%
90d:
+0.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NNI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NNI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.54
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.73
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NNI is currently trading at $129.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.97 to $130.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $126.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NNI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $126.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NNI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$127.97 -
$130.27
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($135.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.97 -
$130.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.83
Resistance Level
$132.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.22
Wall Street Target
$135.00
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.9%
Profit Margin
25.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.96
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$124.42
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$121.93
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$129.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$315.84
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$191.70
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$162.94
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.49
Bull Case
$121.71
(-6%)
Analyst growth -14.7%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$110.65
(-15%)
Market implied -14.7%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$88.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$137.20
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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