NNN REIT (NNN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NNN - NNN REIT, Inc.
$43.87
0.02 (0.05%)
▲
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
-4.23%
90d:
-4.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NNN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NNN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.19
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NNN is currently trading at $43.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.78 to $46.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NNN scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NNN scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$44.78 -
$46.67
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.78 -
$46.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.55
Resistance Level
$45.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.85
Wall Street Target
$47.80
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.65
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$43.43
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$43.22
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$43.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 1.6%)
$46.05
(+5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.6%)
$44.54
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 1.6%)
$37.86
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.03
Bull Case
$49.99
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.6%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$45.44
(+4%)
Market implied 3.6%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$29.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.9 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$44.60
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NNN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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