NNN REIT (NNN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NNN - NNN REIT, Inc.
$40.20
-0.89 (-2.17%)
▼
5d:
-2.38%
30d:
-11.14%
90d:
-15.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NNN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NNN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.90
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NNN is currently trading at $40.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.46 to $45.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NNN scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.73 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NNN scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.73 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.46 -
$45.23
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.46 -
$45.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.01
Resistance Level
$42.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.00
Wall Street Target
$47.73
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.83
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$37.51
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$36.24
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$40.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.9%)
$47.03
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 2.9%)
$43.80
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$37.23
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$47.35
(+18%)
Analyst growth 4.8%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$43.05
(+7%)
Market implied 4.8%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$27.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$44.65
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NNN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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