NNN REIT (NNN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$41.76
+0.07 (+0.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.17%
30d:
+2.93%
90d:
-8.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$40.54 – $41.74
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.9x
FAIR
vs 20.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$45.03
+7.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$40.50 / $42.39
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NNN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.55
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NNN is currently trading at $41.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.54 to $41.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.9) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NNN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.54 -
$41.74
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$40.54 -
$41.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$40.50
Resistance Level
$42.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.03)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.92
Wall Street Target
$45.03
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
40.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.09
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$40.43
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$39.79
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$41.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.8%)
$44.05
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.8%)
$43.93
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 1.8%)
$37.34
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$46.01
(+10%)
Analyst growth 0.3%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$41.83
(+0%)
Market implied 0.3%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$28.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$43.83
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NNN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article discusses different yield paths to replace $1,500 a month in portfolio income, with a focus on Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, and REITs like Realty Income and NNN REIT.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend-paying stocks
REITs
Yield strategies
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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