NPKI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$13.68
-0.12 (-0.87%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.8%
30d:
-5.59%
90d:
-10.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NPKI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NPKI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.74
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.12
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $13.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.14 to $14.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+48.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+48.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.14 -
$14.48
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.6% below Wall St target ($20.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.14 -
$14.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.41
Resistance Level
$14.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.83
Wall Street Target
$20.33
(+48.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.31
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.95
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$12.60
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â24)
$13.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$20.24
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$18.61
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$15.82
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$21.14
(+55%)
Analyst growth 39.3%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$19.22
(+41%)
Market implied 39.3%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$9.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.8 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.85
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregg Piontek
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-09
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SELL
35000 shares
2026-04-01
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SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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