NPK International (NPKI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$13.26
0.07 (0.53%)
â˛
5d:
+1.07%
30d:
-5.35%
90d:
-9.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NPKI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NPKI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.55
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.00
5.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $13.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.20 to $13.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.68, while resistance sits at $13.73.
Market Sentiment: NPKI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+53.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.68, while resistance sits at $13.73.
Market Sentiment: NPKI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+53.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.20 -
$13.89
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.3% below Wall St target ($20.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.20 -
$13.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.68
Resistance Level
$13.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.16
Wall Street Target
$20.33
(+53.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.80
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$12.35
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$11.92
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â24)
$13.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$19.62
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$18.70
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$15.90
(+20%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$20.21
(+52%)
Analyst growth 39.3%, PE expands to 32.2
Base Case
$18.37
(+39%)
Market implied 39.3%, PE stable at 29.3
Bear Case
$8.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.2 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$14.73
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-09
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