NPKI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$14.33
-0.02 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
+1.34%
30d:
-1.85%
90d:
-4.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NPKI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NPKI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.31
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.09
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $14.33, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.25 to $15.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.25 -
$15.42
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($20.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.25 -
$15.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.09
Resistance Level
$15.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.11
Wall Street Target
$20.33
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 23.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.17
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.02
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.86
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$14.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$22.94
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$21.62
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.0%)
$18.37
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$23.30
(+63%)
Analyst growth 47.6%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$21.18
(+48%)
Market implied 47.6%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$9.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 23.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.82
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregg Piontek
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-09
Gregg Piontek
SELL
35000 shares
2026-04-01
Mary Celeste Fruge
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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