NPKI
NPK International Inc.
SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING
NPK International (NPKI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.36
+0.29 (+3.20%)
▲
5d:
+3.54%
30d:
-17.09%
90d:
-32.42%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$9.98 – $11.79
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.3x
CHEAP
vs 22.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.33
+74.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.24 / $11.45
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NPKI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.61
43.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $9.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.98 to $11.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.24, while resistance sits at $11.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NPKI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.33 (+74.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.24, while resistance sits at $11.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NPKI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.33 (+74.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.98 -
$11.79
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.98 -
$11.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$8.24
Resistance Level
$11.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 74.5% below Wall St target ($16.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.26
Wall Street Target
$16.33
(+74.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.42
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.58
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→22)
$10.01
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.0%)
$24.37
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 26.0%)
$18.73
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 26.0%)
$15.92
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$13.30
(+42%)
Analyst growth 33.3%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$12.09
(+29%)
Market implied 33.3%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$6.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.74
(+46.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NPKI)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Jul 15, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on NPKI are bearish (sentiment score -0.32) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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