NPK International (NPKI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NPKI - NPK International Inc.

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING
$13.26
0.07 (0.53%) ▲
5d: +1.07%
30d: -5.35%
90d: -9.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: NPKI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.55
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.00
5.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $13.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.20 to $13.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.68, while resistance sits at $13.73.

Market Sentiment: NPKI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+53.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $13.20 - $13.89
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.3% below Wall St target ($20.33)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.20 - $13.89
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.68
Resistance Level $13.74
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.16
Wall Street Target $20.33 (+53.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 41.5%
Profit Margin 14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.2 vs 23.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.80 (-4%)
2-Year Target $12.35 (-7%)
3-Year Target $11.92 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→24) $13.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.2, Growth: 13.9%) $19.62 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%) $18.70 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%) $15.90 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case $20.21 (+52%)
Analyst growth 39.3%, PE expands to 32.2
Base Case $18.37 (+39%)
Market implied 39.3%, PE stable at 29.3
Bear Case $8.97 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.2 to 23.5
Stabilization Target: $14.73 (+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.1%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregg Piontek SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-09
Gregg Piontek SELL 35000 shares 2026-04-01

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