NPKI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$15.41
0.09 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+4.33%
30d:
+0.92%
90d:
+8.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPKI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPKI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.31
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $15.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.60 to $15.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.09, while resistance sits at $15.98.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+32.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.09, while resistance sits at $15.98.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+32.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.60 -
$15.46
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.7% below Wall St target ($20.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.60 -
$15.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.09
Resistance Level
$15.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.71
Wall Street Target
$20.33
(+32.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 23.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.49
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$15.66
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$15.83
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.31
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 17.0%)
$24.52
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$21.62
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.0%)
$18.37
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$25.82
(+69%)
Analyst growth 47.6%, PE expands to 41.6
Base Case
$23.47
(+53%)
Market implied 47.6%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$10.81
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregg Piontek
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-09
Gregg Piontek
SELL
35000 shares
2026-04-01
Mary Celeste Fruge
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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