Is NRDS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NRDS is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NRDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of NRDS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NRDS to be between $8.57 and $9.90. The current price is $10.45.

What is the analyst price target for NRDS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NRDS is $11.50. This implies a potential upside of 10.0% from current levels.

NerdWallet (NRDS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NRDS - NerdWallet, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

$10.45

-0.08 (-0.76%) ▼

5d: +9.42%

30d: +22.51%

90d: +19.98%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 13d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NRDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$24.61

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$15.28

31.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NRDS is currently trading at $10.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.57 to $9.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (5.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NRDS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NRDS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $8.57 - $9.90

Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 34.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.50)
WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.57 - $9.90

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.78 (7.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.04

Resistance Level $10.65

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.63

Wall Street Target $11.50 (+10.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.7%

Profit Margin 7.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 4.6 vs 5.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $9.78 (-6%)

2-Year Target $9.16 (-12%)

3-Year Target $8.57 (-18%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→6) $10.36 (-1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 71.3%) $151.24 (+1347%)

Base: (SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 71.3%) $35.27 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 3.9, Growth: 71.3%) $29.98 (+187%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 11.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.90

Bull Case $23.17 (+122%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.9

Base Case $21.06 (+102%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.7

Bear Case $7.16 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 5.6

Stabilization Target: $12.64 (+20.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +20.9%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced NRDS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NRDS price and gamma walls.

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