NRDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NRDS - NerdWallet, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$8.37
0.09 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
+2.01%
90d:
-19.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NRDS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.1% annual earnings decline despite 10935% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NRDS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.1% annual earnings decline despite 10935% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.92
47.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NRDS is currently trading at $8.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.07 to $8.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10935.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.82, while resistance sits at $8.81.
Market Sentiment: NRDS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+44.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.82, while resistance sits at $8.81.
Market Sentiment: NRDS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+44.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.07 -
$8.51
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
46th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 46th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.9% below Wall St target ($12.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.07 -
$8.51
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.71
(8.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.82
Resistance Level
$8.81
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.03
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+44.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10935.0%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.71
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.04
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$9.60
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 58.0%)
$151.18
(+1726%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 58.0%)
$27.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 58.0%)
$23.75
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$18.44
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$16.76
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$5.70
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.16
(+59.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NRDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Samuel Yount
SELL
71988 shares
2026-03-17
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SELL
3011 shares
2026-03-12
Nicholas Tatum
SELL
10151 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced NRDS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NRDS price and gamma walls.
