Northrim BanCorp (NRIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NRIM - Northrim BanCorp Inc
$26.16
0.11 (0.42%)
▲
5d:
+0.73%
30d:
-2.86%
90d:
+2.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NRIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NRIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.53
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NRIM is currently trading at $26.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.67 to $26.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRIM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NRIM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRIM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NRIM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.67 -
$26.77
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.67 -
$26.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.13
Resistance Level
$26.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.47
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.45
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.74
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$27.03
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.8%)
$64.16
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 4.8%)
$30.11
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 4.8%)
$25.60
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$26.05
(0%)
Analyst growth -9.1%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$23.68
(-10%)
Market implied -9.1%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$17.71
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NRIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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