NRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NRIM - Northrim BanCorp Inc

SAVINGS INSTITUTION, FEDERALLY CHARTERED
$26.06
0.80 (3.17%) ▲
5d: +3.78%
30d: +6.41%
90d: +14.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NRIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.09
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.30
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NRIM is currently trading at $26.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.15 to $25.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NRIM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $25.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: NRIM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $24.15 - $25.41
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($31.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.15 - $25.41
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.64
Resistance Level $25.85
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.19
Wall Street Target $31.00 (+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Profit Margin 30.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 9.2 vs 8.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.49 (+1%)
2-Year Target $25.72 (+2%)
3-Year Target $25.95 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $25.14 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.8%) $70.87 (+181%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 5.8%) $29.89 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: 5.8%) $25.41 (+1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.88
Bull Case $26.48 (+5%)
Analyst growth -4.5%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case $24.07 (-5%)
Market implied -4.5%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case $17.14 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jed W Ballard BUY 650 shares 2026-01-30
Jed W Ballard BUY 640 shares 2026-01-30
Michael G Huston BUY 1500 shares 2026-01-29

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