NVMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVMI - Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$583.10
7.79 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
+0.01%
30d:
+18.03%
90d:
+25.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When NVMI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NVMI trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NVMI trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$608.98
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$378.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVMI is currently trading at $583.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $488.03 to $558.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 45.1) compared to its historical average (39.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $474.78, while resistance sits at $615.99.
Market Sentiment: NVMI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $474.78, while resistance sits at $615.99.
Market Sentiment: NVMI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$488.03 -
$558.69
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($597.62)
- BEARISH: Market expects 4.9% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$488.03 -
$558.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$474.78
Resistance Level
$615.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.07
Wall Street Target
$597.63
(+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Profit Margin
29.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
45.1 vs 39.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$611.67
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$641.64
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$673.08
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→39)
PE COMPRESSION
$582.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.1, Growth: 23.4%)
$1095.46
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.4%)
$529.34
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.4%)
$449.94
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 53.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.85
Bull Case
$704.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.5
Base Case
$583.10
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.8
Bear Case
$446.07
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NVMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yaniv Garty
SELL
55 shares
2026-04-02
Top Rated Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ASML
ASML Holding NV ADR |
STRONG BUY
44 analysts |
$1719 | 52 HOLD |
|
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc |
STRONG BUY
39 analysts |
$527 | 56 HOLD |
|
LRCX
Lam Research Corp |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$336 | 55 HOLD |
|
KLAC
KLA Corporation |
BUY
30 analysts |
$201 | 57 HOLD |
|
TER
Teradyne Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$375 | 66 BUY |
