NVMI
Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares
Optical Instruments & Lenses
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Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares (NVMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$340.62
+14.92 (+4.58%)
â˛
5d:
+15.33%
30d:
-0.49%
90d:
-17.22%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect NVMI Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (89%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$304.38 â $356.32
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.5x
CHEAP
vs 34.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$405.88
+19.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$275.10 / $347.05
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NVMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$675.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$419.51
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVMI is currently trading at $340.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $304.38 to $356.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.5) compared to its historical average (34.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $347.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NVMI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $405.88 (+19.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $347.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NVMI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $405.88 (+19.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$304.38 -
$356.32
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$304.38 -
$356.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$24.78
(7.3%)
Support Level
$275.10
Resistance Level
$347.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding NVMI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($405.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.54
Wall Street Target
$405.88
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.9%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.5 vs 34.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$306.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$275.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$248.31
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â35)
$353.08
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.5, Growth: 28.6%)
$723.95
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.6%)
$585.79
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 28.6%)
$497.92
(+46%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.31
Bull Case
$546.42
(+68%)
Analyst growth 49.1%, PE expands to 39.4
Base Case
$496.74
(+53%)
Market implied 49.1%, PE stable at 35.8
Bear Case
$226.60
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.5 to 34.9
Stabilization Target:
$484.34
(+42.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NVMI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest Yahoo Finance article discusses the renewed excitement in AI chip stocks after TSMC and Nvidia lifted sentiment, with a focus on Chroma ATE and Advantest. Chroma ATE, a Taiwanese company that builds computerized automatic test systems for AI semiconductor production, is experiencing strong demand due to the testing requirements for advanced chips and power systems for data centers.
Key Retail Themes:
Renewed interest in AI chip stocks
Chroma ATE's strong demand from AI semiconductor production
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NVMI Option Strategies
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