NWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$51.24
0.84 (1.67%)
▲
5d:
+5.32%
30d:
+2.48%
90d:
-7.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.85
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $51.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.97 to $50.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.97 -
$50.31
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.97 -
$50.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.57
Resistance Level
$52.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.88
Wall Street Target
$57.50
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.19
(0%)
2-Year Target
$51.14
(0%)
3-Year Target
$51.09
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$51.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.6%)
$82.81
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 5.6%)
$60.37
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 5.6%)
$51.32
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$61.26
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$55.69
(+9%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$34.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$51.30
(+0.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Weber
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-23
David A Weber
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
Joseph S Karney
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
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