Northwest Natural (NWN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$48.44
-0.62 (-1.26%)
▼
5d:
-1.92%
30d:
-3.77%
90d:
-1.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.64
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $48.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.15 to $50.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.40 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.40 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$49.15 -
$50.55
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.15 -
$50.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.32
Resistance Level
$50.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.99
Wall Street Target
$57.40
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.57
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$46.71
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$45.87
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$48.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.0%)
$75.47
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 5.0%)
$56.08
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$47.67
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case
$58.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 8.5%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$53.21
(+10%)
Market implied 8.5%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$33.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$51.07
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Weber
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-23
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