NWN
Northwest Natural Holding Company
NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION
Northwest Natural (NWN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$51.83
-0.16 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
+1.01%
30d:
+6.34%
90d:
+2.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$48.10 – $51.02
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.9x
FAIR
vs 15.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$56.14
+8.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$49.49 / $54.81
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.49
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $51.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.10 to $51.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.49, while resistance sits at $54.80.
Market Sentiment: NWN scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.49, while resistance sits at $54.80.
Market Sentiment: NWN scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.10 -
$51.02
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$48.10 -
$51.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$49.49
Resistance Level
$54.81
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.86
Wall Street Target
$56.14
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.99
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$52.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$52.30
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.7%)
$74.50
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 4.7%)
$59.48
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 4.7%)
$50.56
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.03
Bull Case
$61.69
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.9%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$56.08
(+8%)
Market implied 7.9%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$35.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NWN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits user, with a bullish sentiment and 27 followers, ranked NWN as the second-best stock in the utilities sector based on Stock Meadow’s scoring model.
Key Retail Themes:
Stock ranking
Positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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