Northwest Natural (NWN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$47.38
0.72 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
-3.78%
90d:
-2.61%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.64
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $47.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.38 to $49.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWN scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.40 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWN scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.40 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.38 -
$49.63
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($57.40)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.38 -
$49.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.75
Resistance Level
$48.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.66
Wall Street Target
$57.40
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$45.13
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$44.05
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$47.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.0%)
$76.33
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$54.85
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 5.0%)
$46.63
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.99
Bull Case
$55.48
(+17%)
Analyst growth 8.1%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$50.44
(+7%)
Market implied 8.1%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$31.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$51.07
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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