Northwest Natural (NWN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$49.93
1.13 (2.32%)
▲
5d:
+3.27%
30d:
+5.72%
90d:
-3.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.23
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $49.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.15 to $48.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.20 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.20 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.15 -
$48.79
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.15 -
$48.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.61
Resistance Level
$50.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.45
Wall Street Target
$56.20
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.68
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$49.43
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$49.18
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$49.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.0%)
$74.31
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 5.0%)
$57.81
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 5.0%)
$49.13
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.01
Bull Case
$57.64
(+15%)
Analyst growth 7.4%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$52.40
(+5%)
Market implied 7.4%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$33.18
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$50.74
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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