Quanex Building Products (NX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NX - Quanex Building Products Corporation
$19.22
0.02 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-2.63%
30d:
+1.53%
90d:
+11.87%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.16
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NX is currently trading at $19.22, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.01 to $21.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.45, while resistance sits at $21.10.
Market Sentiment: NX scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.45, while resistance sits at $21.10.
Market Sentiment: NX scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.01 -
$21.18
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.4% below Wall St target ($26.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.3% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.01 -
$21.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.58
(8.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.45
Resistance Level
$21.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.73
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+35.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-84.1%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 8.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.22
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$21.29
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$22.42
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$51.44
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$24.54
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$20.86
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$41.51
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$37.74
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$12.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NX price and gamma walls.
