OC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OC - Owens Corning

ABRASIVE, ASBESTOS & MISC NONMETALLIC MINERAL PRODS
$138.90
0.08 (0.06%) ▲
5d: -2.42%
30d: -7.76%
90d: +12.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: OC shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 23th percentile) and market pricing in only 3.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$241.36
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.86
7.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OC is currently trading at $138.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.84 to $148.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $134.39, while resistance sits at $147.00.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.57 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $136.84 - $148.42
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 23th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($164.57)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $136.84 - $148.42
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$9.05 (6.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $134.39
Resistance Level $147.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.79
Wall Street Target $164.57 (+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 31.2%
Profit Margin -5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.3% premium
PE vs Historical 11.8 vs 10.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $143.48 (+3%)
2-Year Target $148.22 (+7%)
3-Year Target $153.11 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→11) PE COMPRESSION $138.93 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.2%) $468.36 (+237%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 24.2%) $266.42 (+92%)
Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: 24.2%) $226.46 (+63%)
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced OC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OC price and gamma walls.

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