OC Owens Corning ABRASIVE, ASBESTOS & MISC NONMETALLIC MINERAL PRODS

Owens Corning (OC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$122.97
-4.05 (-3.19%) ▼
5d: +4.42% 30d: +9.2% 90d: -21.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$112.51 – $121.18
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.0x STRETCHED
vs 10.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$138.44
+12.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$115.10 / $128.89
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.93
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.61
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OC is currently trading at $122.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.51 to $121.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $115.09, while resistance sits at $128.88. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: OC scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.44 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $112.51 - $121.18
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $112.51 - $121.18
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $115.10
Resistance Level $128.89
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($138.44)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.0% growth with -7.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.97
Wall Street Target $138.44 (+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -34.2%
Profit Margin -4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.0% premium
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 10.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $134.04 (+9%)
2-Year Target $146.10 (+19%)
3-Year Target $159.25 (+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→11) PE COMPRESSION $123.15 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.0%) $259.00 (+111%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 14.0%) $182.13 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 14.0%) $140.85 (+15%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OC)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Trader on StockTwits expresses a bullish outlook on $OC, suggesting that recent rate peaks may signal a double bottom and potential price decline if rates weaken and inflation slows. No recent news articles were available for analysis.
Key Retail Themes: rate environment inflation stock price
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:20 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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