Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OCSL - Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation
$12.67
0.09 (0.72%)
â˛
5d:
-3.5%
30d:
-0.55%
90d:
+5.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When OCSL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OCSL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OCSL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.00
Based on -2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OCSL is currently trading at $12.67, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.61 to $13.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OCSL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OCSL scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OCSL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OCSL scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.61 -
$13.17
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with -7.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.61 -
$13.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.50
Resistance Level
$13.33
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.27
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.3%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.08
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$13.49
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$13.93
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -9.2%)
$20.65
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -9.2%)
$9.50
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$8.07
(-36%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$27.64
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case
$25.13
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$8.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is OCSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$128 | 49 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global ManagementâĻ |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$153 | 49 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong SustainâĻ |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$50 | 49 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$144 | 47 HOLD |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$13 | 48 HOLD |
