OGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OGS - ONE GAS, INC.
$78.83
-2.56 (-3.15%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.65%
30d:
-1.44%
90d:
-4.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OGS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OGS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.14
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OGS is currently trading at $78.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.58 to $80.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.06 (+14.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.06 (+14.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$78.58 -
$80.77
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.06)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.58 -
$80.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.99
Resistance Level
$82.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.58
Wall Street Target
$90.06
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.02
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.25
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$73.51
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â17)
$78.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$110.57
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 2.9%)
$85.81
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$72.94
(-8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case
$97.65
(+24%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$88.78
(+13%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$55.35
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$84.52
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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