ONE GAS (OGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OGS - ONE GAS, INC.
$77.34
-0.82 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
-3.97%
30d:
-3.78%
90d:
+1.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.38
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OGS is currently trading at $77.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.80 to $80.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.56 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.56 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$78.80 -
$80.93
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.56)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.80 -
$80.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.20
Resistance Level
$81.24
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$89.56
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$73.07
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$71.02
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$77.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.0%)
$111.57
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 3.0%)
$84.53
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 3.0%)
$71.85
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case
$95.01
(+23%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$86.37
(+12%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$53.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$84.52
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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