ONE GAS (OGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OGS - ONE GAS, INC.
$71.71
-0.16 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
-0.33%
30d:
-10.76%
90d:
-7.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When OGS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.17
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OGS is currently trading at $71.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.37 to $80.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.72 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.72 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.37 -
$80.14
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($88.72)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.37 -
$80.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.37
Resistance Level
$75.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.21
Wall Street Target
$88.72
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 16.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.20
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$64.85
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$61.68
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$71.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.7%)
$111.59
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 2.7%)
$77.74
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 2.7%)
$66.08
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case
$85.97
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.8%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$78.16
(+9%)
Market implied 8.8%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$48.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$83.26
(+16.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is OGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Gas by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$50 | 67 BUY |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$186 | 46 HOLD |
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 41 HOLD |
|
MDU
MDU Resources Group Inc |
BUY
5 analysts |
$24 | 63 BUY |
|
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Cor… |
BUY
7 analysts |
$147 | 50 HOLD |
