OMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OMC - Omnicom Group Inc.

SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES
$87.54
0.47 (0.54%) ▲
5d: -0.03%
30d: +12.37%
90d: +18.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.84
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.52
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OMC is currently trading at $87.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.09 to $86.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OMC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OMC scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.08 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $80.09 - $86.21
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($102.08)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $80.09 - $86.21
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.10
Resistance Level $88.55
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.27
Wall Street Target $102.08 (+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 63.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 58.8%
Profit Margin 1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.4% premium
PE vs Historical 7.3 vs 6.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $89.64 (+2%)
2-Year Target $91.79 (+5%)
3-Year Target $94.00 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $87.94 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.7%) $355.31 (+306%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 13.7%) $128.67 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 6.2, Growth: 13.7%) $109.37 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 8.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.56
Bull Case $105.70 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case $87.54 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case $66.97 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-13

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