Omeros (OMER) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$18.15
+0.85 (+4.91%)
▲
5d:
-0.17%
30d:
-3.87%
90d:
+4.61%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (90%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$16.79 – $18.92
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.8x
CHEAP
vs 56.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$27.50
+51.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.64 / $19.28
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OMER shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 36.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $17.51 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.18
51.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMER is currently trading at $18.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.79 to $18.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (56.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 36.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.64, while resistance sits at $19.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: OMER scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+51.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.64, while resistance sits at $19.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: OMER scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+51.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.79 -
$18.92
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.79 -
$18.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.84
(10.1%)
Support Level
$16.64
Resistance Level
$19.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($27.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.76
Wall Street Target
$27.50
(+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Profit Margin
324.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-36.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 56.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-36.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.34
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.70
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.23
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→57)
$50.93
(+181%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 78.3%)
$82.44
(+354%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 78.3%)
$61.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 78.3%)
$52.07
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case
$19.19
(+6%)
Analyst growth 0.8%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$17.44
(-4%)
Market implied 0.8%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$11.76
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 56.8
Stabilization Target:
$69.86
(+284.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+284.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OMER)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $OMER's chart predictions and the potential impact of a lawsuit against dialysis companies on the stock.
Key Retail Themes:
Stock price prediction
Legal action against dialysis companies
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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