ONC
BeOne Medicines Ltd. American Depositary Shares
PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
Best Pharmaceutical Stocks 2026 →
BeOne Medicines (ONC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$421.12
+1.14 (+0.27%)
β²
5d:
+8.75%
30d:
+19.81%
90d:
+21.19%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$355.36 β $380.82
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
38.9x
FAIR
vs 36.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$462.19
+10.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$347.61 / $424.73
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ONC is 10.6% above its trading range ($380.82). Market expects 1.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$376.31
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$233.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONC is currently trading at $421.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $355.36 to $380.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.9) is in line with its historical norms (36.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $424.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ONC scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.19 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $424.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ONC scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.19 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$355.36 -
$380.82
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$355.36 -
$380.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$347.61
Resistance Level
$424.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($462.19)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.91
Wall Street Target
$462.19
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
212.5%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
38.9 vs 36.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$427.96
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$436.09
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$444.38
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39β37)
PE COMPRESSION
$420.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$555.43
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$283.47
(-33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$240.95
(-43%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.42
Bull Case
$507.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$419.98
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$321.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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