Oportun Financial (OPRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OPRT - Oportun Financial Corporation Common Stock

FINANCE SERVICES
$8.23
0.08 (1.04%) ▲
5d: -0.9%
30d: +15.36%
90d: +39.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: OPRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.79
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OPRT is currently trading at $8.22, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.50 to $8.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (3.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OPRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: OPRT scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.75 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $7.50 - $8.27
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 27th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.9% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.50 - $8.27
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$1.43 (17.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.99
Resistance Level $8.66
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.21
Wall Street Target $9.75 (+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.4%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.9% premium
PE vs Historical 4.2 vs 3.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.04 (+10%)
2-Year Target $9.93 (+21%)
3-Year Target $10.92 (+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→3) PE COMPRESSION $8.29 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 23.5%) $75.09 (+813%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 23.5%) $15.51 (+89%)
Bear: (PE: 3.2, Growth: 23.5%) $11.78 (+43%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case $17.91 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case $16.28 (+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case $5.54 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
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NEUTRAL

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