OR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OR - OR Royalties Inc.
$28.73
-0.55 (-1.88%)
▼
5d:
-6.75%
30d:
-8.71%
90d:
-27.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.14
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.61
14.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OR is currently trading at $28.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.10 to $35.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 184.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+54.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+54.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.10 -
$35.42
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.9% below Wall St target ($44.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.10 -
$35.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.19
Resistance Level
$37.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.38
Wall Street Target
$44.50
(+54.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
184.4%
Profit Margin
78.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 25.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.86
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.27
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→26)
$29.40
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$44.67
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$37.69
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 9.5%)
$32.03
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$37.62
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$34.20
(+17%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$20.23
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$40.34
(+40.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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